Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #176 of 1,000

P0034

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 78,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 351

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 351

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 557Deviation R 907

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 351. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 339

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 396 to R 3 686
Finished ahead: 248 / 1,000 (24,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #468 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,43% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 2.149
Mean bets / session: 5.92
Loss multiplier: 1.0377×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 43,2% / 50,7% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 3 84985 wagers · RTP 101,56%

Three-Reel SlotR 3 66180 wagers · RTP 99,30%

BaccaratR 1 93643 wagers · RTP 117,98%

BlackjackR 1 22327 wagers · RTP 100,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 02623 wagers · RTP 114,22%

CrashR 87519 wagers · RTP 120,14%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 86119 wagers · RTP 23,81%

American RouletteR 83418 wagers · RTP 175,30%

Craps / DiceR 45810 wagers · RTP 96,07%

Lottery / JackpotR 3989 wagers · RTP 22,61%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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