Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #127 of 1,000

P0035

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 88,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 11 549

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 1 549

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 613Deviation R 2 163

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 1 549. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 530

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 491 to R 3 442
Finished ahead: 239 / 1,000 (23,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #491 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,50% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.97
Mean bets / session: 4.675
Loss multiplier: 1.0148×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 45,4% / 57,5% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 3 59170 wagers · RTP 144,76%

European RouletteR 2 35146 wagers · RTP 190,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 01219 wagers · RTP 5,14%

American RouletteR 1 00619 wagers · RTP 44,43%

Virtual Sports BettingR 91118 wagers · RTP 102,73%

BaccaratR 90418 wagers · RTP 107,74%

Lottery / JackpotR 85517 wagers · RTP 63,63%

BlackjackR 84016 wagers · RTP 109,35%

CrashR 67613 wagers · RTP 32,17%

Craps / DiceR 2996 wagers · RTP 80,27%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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