Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #627 of 1,000

P0036

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 25,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 6 788

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 3 212

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 548Deviation -R 2 664

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 3 212. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 2 067

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 206 to R 6 202
Finished ahead: 255 / 1,000 (25,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #554 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,57% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 2.194
Mean bets / session: 4.344
Loss multiplier: 1.0363×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 52,2% / 46,0% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 2 57557 wagers · RTP 70,39%

European RouletteR 2 48054 wagers · RTP 69,31%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 58134 wagers · RTP 36,88%

BaccaratR 1 01422 wagers · RTP 64,50%

Virtual Sports BettingR 94621 wagers · RTP 100,15%

BlackjackR 91421 wagers · RTP 153,99%

Lottery / JackpotR 82119 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 65314 wagers · RTP 36,60%

CrashR 57613 wagers · RTP 183,16%

Craps / DiceR 49111 wagers · RTP 85,95%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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