Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #357 of 1,000

P0038

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 59,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 433

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 567

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 404Deviation -R 164

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 567. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 866

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 315 to R 2 569
Finished ahead: 265 / 1,000 (26,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #410 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,30% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 2.17
Mean bets / session: 5.076
Loss multiplier: 1.0302×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 45,9% / 38,9% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 1 97971 wagers · RTP 130,22%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 78663 wagers · RTP 60,81%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 70261 wagers · RTP 108,71%

Lottery / JackpotR 58721 wagers · RTP 48,04%

Craps / DiceR 50618 wagers · RTP 113,44%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 46417 wagers · RTP 6,03%

BaccaratR 45816 wagers · RTP 114,09%

CrashR 41314 wagers · RTP 148,37%

BlackjackR 2429 wagers · RTP 76,03%

American RouletteR 1957 wagers · RTP 24,62%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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