Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #295 of 1,000

P0039

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 70,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 705

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 295

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 473Deviation R 179

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 295. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 434

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 525 to R 5 071
Finished ahead: 266 / 1,000 (26,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #479 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,58% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 2.072
Mean bets / session: 3.927
Loss multiplier: 1.0383×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 37,6% / 39,1% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 2 39544 wagers · RTP 63,99%

CrashR 2 37544 wagers · RTP 106,24%

European RouletteR 2 05437 wagers · RTP 74,34%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 83215 wagers · RTP 69,23%

Craps / DiceR 81815 wagers · RTP 135,45%

American RouletteR 69813 wagers · RTP 323,35%

Virtual Sports BettingR 65212 wagers · RTP 75,96%

BaccaratR 62912 wagers · RTP 104,83%

Lottery / JackpotR 57211 wagers · RTP 36,36%

BlackjackR 3647 wagers · RTP 57,14%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies