Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #133 of 1,000

P0041

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 87,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 11 393

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 1 393

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 398Deviation R 1 791

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 1 393. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 410

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 332 to R 4 126
Finished ahead: 264 / 1,000 (26,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #479 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,40% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.939
Mean bets / session: 5.678
Loss multiplier: 1.0065×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 50,3% / 47,9% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 2 68176 wagers · RTP 60,72%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 88754 wagers · RTP 66,14%

CrashR 1 10530 wagers · RTP 41,95%

BaccaratR 90825 wagers · RTP 105,77%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 71320 wagers · RTP 622,02%

BlackjackR 62818 wagers · RTP 103,82%

Craps / DiceR 60817 wagers · RTP 107,24%

Lottery / JackpotR 54115 wagers · RTP 97,23%

Virtual Sports BettingR 46012 wagers · RTP 83,90%

American RouletteR 36910 wagers · RTP 92,68%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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