Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #474 of 1,000

P0042

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 40,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 358

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 642

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 470Deviation -R 1 172

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 642. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 336

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 091 to R 3 410
Finished ahead: 239 / 1,000 (23,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #467 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,39% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 2.096
Mean bets / session: 4.862
Loss multiplier: 1.0135×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 54,2% / 38,8% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 1 90153 wagers · RTP 88,85%

American RouletteR 1 69548 wagers · RTP 91,45%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 50543 wagers · RTP 97,67%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 93327 wagers · RTP 10,83%

Virtual Sports BettingR 76922 wagers · RTP 103,40%

Lottery / JackpotR 76122 wagers · RTP 17,87%

BaccaratR 56516 wagers · RTP 120,35%

Craps / DiceR 42512 wagers · RTP 131,29%

BlackjackR 40812 wagers · RTP 124,51%

CrashR 35310 wagers · RTP 52,76%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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