Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #600 of 1,000

P0044

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 5,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 7 114

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 886

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 328Deviation -R 2 558

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 886. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 140

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 887 to R 3 560
Finished ahead: 269 / 1,000 (26,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #445 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,53% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.632
Mean bets / session: 4.428
Loss multiplier: 1.0288×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 49,9% / 55,9% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 2 03447 wagers · RTP 53,98%

BaccaratR 1 97545 wagers · RTP 78,33%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 49134 wagers · RTP 61,13%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 75918 wagers · RTP 18,58%

Virtual Sports BettingR 66315 wagers · RTP 79,04%

American RouletteR 62914 wagers · RTP 62,64%

BlackjackR 53113 wagers · RTP 111,96%

Craps / DiceR 49611 wagers · RTP 109,68%

CrashR 46611 wagers · RTP 121,30%

Lottery / JackpotR 2575 wagers · RTP 37,35%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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