Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #338 of 1,000

P0045

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 62,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 533

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 467

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 324Deviation -R 143

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 467. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 845

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 363 to R 3 374
Finished ahead: 284 / 1,000 (28,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #402 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,32% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 2.065
Mean bets / session: 4.683
Loss multiplier: 1.0131×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 48,7% / 48,2% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 2 66090 wagers · RTP 105,28%

European RouletteR 1 18340 wagers · RTP 67,71%

Virtual Sports BettingR 48216 wagers · RTP 158,23%

CrashR 48016 wagers · RTP 129,06%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 47116 wagers · RTP 6,16%

Lottery / JackpotR 46816 wagers · RTP 11,54%

BaccaratR 44215 wagers · RTP 112,66%

Craps / DiceR 41514 wagers · RTP 141,69%

BlackjackR 35512 wagers · RTP 79,15%

American RouletteR 2037 wagers · RTP 127,09%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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