Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #424 of 1,000

P0046

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 42,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 881

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 119

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 233Deviation -R 885

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 119. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 907

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 148 to R 2 986
Finished ahead: 279 / 1,000 (27,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #418 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,23% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.904
Mean bets / session: 4.858
Loss multiplier: 1.0312×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 35,8% / 51,9% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 20957 wagers · RTP 42,76%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 02350 wagers · RTP 71,65%

European RouletteR 1 01848 wagers · RTP 73,48%

CrashR 51725 wagers · RTP 154,01%

Virtual Sports BettingR 33216 wagers · RTP 83,33%

Lottery / JackpotR 29314 wagers · RTP 15,02%

American RouletteR 26413 wagers · RTP 115,91%

BaccaratR 21410 wagers · RTP 128,27%

Craps / DiceR 20410 wagers · RTP 100,00%

BlackjackR 1427 wagers · RTP 139,44%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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