Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #184 of 1,000

P0047

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 78,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 268

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 268

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 312Deviation R 580

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 268. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 978

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 321 to R 2 702
Finished ahead: 253 / 1,000 (25,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #420 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,33% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.998
Mean bets / session: 4.459
Loss multiplier: 1.0378×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 54,9% / 51,6% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 1 46347 wagers · RTP 97,47%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 45647 wagers · RTP 230,39%

Craps / DiceR 1 04234 wagers · RTP 94,24%

BlackjackR 71323 wagers · RTP 87,73%

Lottery / JackpotR 55718 wagers · RTP 12,21%

BaccaratR 47516 wagers · RTP 60,88%

American RouletteR 43614 wagers · RTP 16,06%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 43514 wagers · RTP 7,13%

CrashR 2849 wagers · RTP 108,01%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2719 wagers · RTP 91,27%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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