Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #442 of 1,000

P0049

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 30,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 722

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 278

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 217Deviation -R 1 061

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 278. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 850

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 972 to R 2 484
Finished ahead: 243 / 1,000 (24,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #404 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,34% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.963
Mean bets / session: 3.247
Loss multiplier: 1.0072×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 36,6% / 55,1% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 1 05135 wagers · RTP 103,04%

CrashR 93031 wagers · RTP 65,27%

Three-Reel SlotR 85328 wagers · RTP 53,52%

American RouletteR 39813 wagers · RTP 154,52%

BaccaratR 38513 wagers · RTP 96,16%

Lottery / JackpotR 35912 wagers · RTP 16,16%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 33711 wagers · RTP 45,99%

Craps / DiceR 2749 wagers · RTP 65,69%

BlackjackR 2137 wagers · RTP 29,58%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1204 wagers · RTP 45,65%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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