Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #489 of 1,000

P0050

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 20,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 238

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 762

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 394Deviation -R 1 368

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 762. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 026

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 258 to R 1 916
Finished ahead: 211 / 1,000 (21,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #430 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,31% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.712
Mean bets / session: 4.563
Loss multiplier: 1.0197×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 48,4% / 50,9% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 1 40250 wagers · RTP 70,61%

European RouletteR 1 28747 wagers · RTP 88,11%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 02237 wagers · RTP 5,87%

American RouletteR 50518 wagers · RTP 185,94%

BaccaratR 43215 wagers · RTP 73,38%

Virtual Sports BettingR 39014 wagers · RTP 106,47%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 33212 wagers · RTP 54,82%

Craps / DiceR 26210 wagers · RTP 41,60%

BlackjackR 2158 wagers · RTP 22,33%

CrashR 1736 wagers · RTP 36,99%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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