Research simulation · fictional money · no deposits, prizes or visitor wagers
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Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #210 of 1,000

P0051

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 74,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 088

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 88

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 230Deviation R 319

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

P0051 cumulative P&L by calendar monthMonth-six visible P&L R 88. Bankroll allocations used: 1.
Month-six visible P&L R 88. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 708

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile
-R 1 894 to R 2 891
Finished ahead
270 / 1,000 (27,0%)
At least one ruin
0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank
#388 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake
0,29% of bankroll
Sessions / week
2.184
Mean bets / session
3.207
Loss multiplier
1.0111×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win
36,9% / 60,4% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 1 49753 wagers · RTP 128,99%
Three-Reel SlotR 83329 wagers · RTP 170,53%
BaccaratR 69524 wagers · RTP 103,02%
High-Volatility Video SlotR 61122 wagers · RTP 36,66%
American RouletteR 37113 wagers · RTP 23,45%
Lottery / JackpotR 31811 wagers · RTP 36,48%
Virtual Sports BettingR 2639 wagers · RTP 94,27%
Craps / DiceR 2368 wagers · RTP 110,59%
CrashR 2047 wagers · RTP 26,47%
BlackjackR 1134 wagers · RTP 152,21%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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