Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #434 of 1,000

P0052

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 24,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 814

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 186

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 193Deviation -R 994

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 186. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 633

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 755 to R 2 060
Finished ahead: 278 / 1,000 (27,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #374 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,30% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 2.022
Mean bets / session: 3.43
Loss multiplier: 1.0232×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 40,9% / 52,5% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 1 32047 wagers · RTP 82,73%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 03137 wagers · RTP 44,52%

American RouletteR 71125 wagers · RTP 40,37%

Craps / DiceR 70925 wagers · RTP 96,47%

BaccaratR 37313 wagers · RTP 113,65%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 34612 wagers · RTP 16,47%

BlackjackR 33712 wagers · RTP 100,30%

CrashR 30711 wagers · RTP 236,64%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1676 wagers · RTP 97,20%

Lottery / JackpotR 1154 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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