Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #585 of 1,000

P0054

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 13,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 7 357

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 643

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 499Deviation -R 2 144

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 643. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 258

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 249 to R 3 368
Finished ahead: 232 / 1,000 (23,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #457 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,51% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.609
Mean bets / session: 5.78
Loss multiplier: 1.0119×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 36,4% / 56,8% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 2 12148 wagers · RTP 63,22%

BaccaratR 1 88443 wagers · RTP 103,98%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 87443 wagers · RTP 63,61%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 15927 wagers · RTP 95,76%

Lottery / JackpotR 99823 wagers · RTP 16,23%

Craps / DiceR 91321 wagers · RTP 95,73%

CrashR 60814 wagers · RTP 178,50%

BlackjackR 54112 wagers · RTP 63,96%

American RouletteR 3999 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2155 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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