Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #352 of 1,000

P0055

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 68,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 444

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 556

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 525Deviation -R 31

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 556. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 552

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 752 to R 4 248
Finished ahead: 258 / 1,000 (25,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #490 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,49% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.741
Mean bets / session: 5.858
Loss multiplier: 1.0027×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 36,5% / 49,6% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 3 29965 wagers · RTP 78,71%

European RouletteR 2 61951 wagers · RTP 98,28%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 24024 wagers · RTP 36,53%

BlackjackR 91718 wagers · RTP 139,04%

CrashR 87517 wagers · RTP 91,37%

Craps / DiceR 86617 wagers · RTP 96,54%

Lottery / JackpotR 72214 wagers · RTP 42,38%

BaccaratR 68213 wagers · RTP 97,13%

American RouletteR 56111 wagers · RTP 300,53%

Virtual Sports BettingR 50910 wagers · RTP 107,22%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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