Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #48 of 1,000

P0056

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 98,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTTail resultNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 20 314

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 10 314

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 999Deviation R 11 313

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 10 314. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 905

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 082 to R 6 342
Finished ahead: 293 / 1,000 (29,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #538 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,45% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.968
Mean bets / session: 5.779
Loss multiplier: 1.0222×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 46,4% / 41,6% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 5 15868 wagers · RTP 149,97%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3 90153 wagers · RTP 421,05%

European RouletteR 3 87753 wagers · RTP 47,41%

BaccaratR 1 64822 wagers · RTP 86,10%

CrashR 1 48219 wagers · RTP 38,98%

Craps / DiceR 1 20218 wagers · RTP 72,63%

BlackjackR 1 18816 wagers · RTP 91,92%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 11517 wagers · RTP 8,25%

American RouletteR 1 10915 wagers · RTP 57,62%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 05414 wagers · RTP 128,74%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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