Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #433 of 1,000

P0057

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 59,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 828

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 172

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 569Deviation -R 604

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 172. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 455

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 172 to R 4 004
Finished ahead: 224 / 1,000 (22,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #482 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,41% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 2.142
Mean bets / session: 4.723
Loss multiplier: 1.0022×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 48,7% / 46,9% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 2 01650 wagers · RTP 97,62%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 82646 wagers · RTP 104,13%

Craps / DiceR 1 80945 wagers · RTP 108,07%

American RouletteR 1 18930 wagers · RTP 54,67%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 04726 wagers · RTP 66,28%

BlackjackR 89222 wagers · RTP 103,25%

CrashR 79920 wagers · RTP 80,54%

Lottery / JackpotR 72118 wagers · RTP 46,05%

BaccaratR 60015 wagers · RTP 107,33%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3188 wagers · RTP 105,54%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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