Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #86 of 1,000

P0059

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 96,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTTail resultNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 14 333

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 4 333

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 623Deviation R 4 956

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 4 333. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 063

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 864 to R 3 787
Finished ahead: 279 / 1,000 (27,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #431 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,43% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 2.101
Mean bets / session: 4.523
Loss multiplier: 1.031×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 45,6% / 61,9% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 2 54446 wagers · RTP 213,52%

CrashR 2 51246 wagers · RTP 168,67%

Three-Reel SlotR 2 06938 wagers · RTP 127,79%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 16822 wagers · RTP 72,68%

Craps / DiceR 1 10421 wagers · RTP 60,42%

BlackjackR 1 09820 wagers · RTP 92,90%

American RouletteR 1 02218 wagers · RTP 224,95%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 80815 wagers · RTP 13,00%

BaccaratR 77914 wagers · RTP 82,93%

Lottery / JackpotR 59011 wagers · RTP 21,69%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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