Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #165 of 1,000

P0060

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 86,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 468

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 468

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 536Deviation R 1 004

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 468. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 440

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 737 to R 2 376
Finished ahead: 193 / 1,000 (19,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #478 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,31% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.817
Mean bets / session: 5.761
Loss multiplier: 1.0034×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 43,7% / 39,2% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 1 81254 wagers · RTP 157,20%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 46944 wagers · RTP 32,13%

European RouletteR 1 16134 wagers · RTP 79,41%

BaccaratR 77923 wagers · RTP 93,83%

Craps / DiceR 75122 wagers · RTP 81,49%

CrashR 71021 wagers · RTP 108,77%

American RouletteR 66920 wagers · RTP 266,82%

BlackjackR 58117 wagers · RTP 106,02%

Virtual Sports BettingR 50415 wagers · RTP 82,96%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 47514 wagers · RTP 42,53%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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