Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #687 of 1,000

P0061

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 11,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 5 710

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 4 290

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 673Deviation -R 3 617

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 4 290. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 2 075

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 730 to R 5 142
Finished ahead: 264 / 1,000 (26,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #554 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,60% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 2.164
Mean bets / session: 5.892
Loss multiplier: 1.0231×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 48,6% / 61,3% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 5 278118 wagers · RTP 73,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 2 96867 wagers · RTP 70,84%

BlackjackR 1 14826 wagers · RTP 81,45%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 02422 wagers · RTP 103,98%

BaccaratR 1 02325 wagers · RTP 118,28%

Lottery / JackpotR 88020 wagers · RTP 15,68%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 71516 wagers · RTP 25,17%

Craps / DiceR 69015 wagers · RTP 58,26%

CrashR 58512 wagers · RTP 78,25%

American RouletteR 4489 wagers · RTP 28,13%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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