Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #516 of 1,000

P0062

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 6,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 039

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 961

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 223Deviation -R 1 737

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 961. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 807

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 066 to R 2 849
Finished ahead: 261 / 1,000 (26,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #400 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,35% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.954
Mean bets / session: 3.158
Loss multiplier: 1.0252×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 38,0% / 43,9% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 1 06534 wagers · RTP 44,41%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 05934 wagers · RTP 69,41%

American RouletteR 58419 wagers · RTP 79,11%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 49416 wagers · RTP 19,43%

Virtual Sports BettingR 45314 wagers · RTP 74,63%

Lottery / JackpotR 2829 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 2498 wagers · RTP 74,30%

BaccaratR 2448 wagers · RTP 107,79%

CrashR 2187 wagers · RTP 16,06%

Craps / DiceR 2167 wagers · RTP 146,30%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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