Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #157 of 1,000

P0063

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 80,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 620

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 620

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 474Deviation R 1 095

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 620. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 491

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 217 to R 4 687
Finished ahead: 251 / 1,000 (25,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #489 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,59% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.827
Mean bets / session: 3.871
Loss multiplier: 1.0293×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 52,7% / 59,1% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 1 90435 wagers · RTP 145,22%

BlackjackR 1 74632 wagers · RTP 102,23%

European RouletteR 1 69332 wagers · RTP 152,51%

Lottery / JackpotR 87016 wagers · RTP 21,61%

American RouletteR 75814 wagers · RTP 19,39%

CrashR 70613 wagers · RTP 186,23%

Craps / DiceR 66513 wagers · RTP 75,79%

Virtual Sports BettingR 63312 wagers · RTP 114,96%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 58711 wagers · RTP 8,35%

BaccaratR 3667 wagers · RTP 132,72%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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