Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #637 of 1,000

P0064

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 1,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTTail resultNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 6 671

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 3 329

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 427Deviation -R 2 902

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 3 329. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 210

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 908 to R 3 898
Finished ahead: 261 / 1,000 (26,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #449 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,39% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.795
Mean bets / session: 5.757
Loss multiplier: 1.0334×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 41,1% / 43,3% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 2 13864 wagers · RTP 69,81%

European RouletteR 2 04262 wagers · RTP 91,43%

BaccaratR 1 02533 wagers · RTP 102,28%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 86626 wagers · RTP 7,39%

Lottery / JackpotR 79524 wagers · RTP 15,09%

BlackjackR 77924 wagers · RTP 55,33%

CrashR 54917 wagers · RTP 41,89%

American RouletteR 45714 wagers · RTP 14,88%

Virtual Sports BettingR 31710 wagers · RTP 51,03%

Craps / DiceR 2187 wagers · RTP 171,56%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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