Research simulation · fictional money · no deposits, prizes or visitor wagers
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Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #368 of 1,000

P0065

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 57,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 389

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 611

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 358Deviation -R 253

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

P0065 cumulative P&L by calendar monthMonth-six visible P&L -R 611. Bankroll allocations used: 1.
Month-six visible P&L -R 611. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 870

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile
-R 2 639 to R 3 873
Finished ahead
297 / 1,000 (29,7%)
At least one ruin
0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank
#414 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake
0,44% of bankroll
Sessions / week
2.193
Mean bets / session
3.341
Loss multiplier
1.013×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win
35,4% / 47,5% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 2 00944 wagers · RTP 68,69%
European RouletteR 1 52134 wagers · RTP 64,43%
BlackjackR 77817 wagers · RTP 122,49%
Virtual Sports BettingR 77617 wagers · RTP 90,97%
American RouletteR 53712 wagers · RTP 281,56%
High-Volatility Video SlotR 50011 wagers · RTP 42,00%
CrashR 4089 wagers · RTP 120,65%
BaccaratR 3688 wagers · RTP 98,91%
Lottery / JackpotR 3558 wagers · RTP 24,79%
Craps / DiceR 3167 wagers · RTP 86,08%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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