Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #81 of 1,000

P0066

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 92,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 14 602

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 4 602

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 862Deviation R 5 464

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 4 602. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 800

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 796 to R 5 868
Finished ahead: 261 / 1,000 (26,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #526 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,52% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.566
Mean bets / session: 5.792
Loss multiplier: 1.0135×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 37,4% / 41,9% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 3 50448 wagers · RTP 175,41%

European RouletteR 3 34945 wagers · RTP 125,23%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2 92338 wagers · RTP 236,16%

BaccaratR 1 84724 wagers · RTP 70,30%

American RouletteR 1 63322 wagers · RTP 16,90%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 53820 wagers · RTP 80,36%

Craps / DiceR 1 15916 wagers · RTP 78,17%

Virtual Sports BettingR 77811 wagers · RTP 118,10%

CrashR 71711 wagers · RTP 59,14%

BlackjackR 6839 wagers · RTP 62,96%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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