Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #94 of 1,000

P0068

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 95,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTTail resultNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 13 529

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 3 529

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 614Deviation R 4 144

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 3 529. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 284

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 945 to R 3 239
Finished ahead: 240 / 1,000 (24,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #459 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,47% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.772
Mean bets / session: 4.797
Loss multiplier: 1.0059×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 43,4% / 58,4% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 3 11653 wagers · RTP 49,81%

Three-Reel SlotR 2 64843 wagers · RTP 146,49%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 28521 wagers · RTP 93,53%

American RouletteR 1 26320 wagers · RTP 82,11%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 03317 wagers · RTP 474,35%

Craps / DiceR 79313 wagers · RTP 140,48%

CrashR 74112 wagers · RTP 98,72%

BaccaratR 62210 wagers · RTP 161,41%

BlackjackR 58510 wagers · RTP 63,59%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 4618 wagers · RTP 61,82%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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