Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #391 of 1,000

P0069

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 52,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 210

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 790

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 280Deviation -R 509

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 790. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 857

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 165 to R 2 028
Finished ahead: 240 / 1,000 (24,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #410 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,41% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.561
Mean bets / session: 3.323
Loss multiplier: 1.0235×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 36,3% / 43,4% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

CrashR 1 03026 wagers · RTP 176,46%

Three-Reel SlotR 87523 wagers · RTP 75,26%

European RouletteR 86722 wagers · RTP 70,82%

Lottery / JackpotR 42811 wagers · RTP 18,22%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3048 wagers · RTP 104,08%

American RouletteR 2697 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 2697 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1865 wagers · RTP 40,32%

Craps / DiceR 1213 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 802 wagers · RTP 100,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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