Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #450 of 1,000

P0070

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 50,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 557

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 443

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 604Deviation -R 839

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 443. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 443

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 103 to R 2 244
Finished ahead: 186 / 1,000 (18,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #486 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,40% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.712
Mean bets / session: 5.488
Loss multiplier: 1.0027×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 47,4% / 54,7% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 2 40861 wagers · RTP 95,20%

European RouletteR 1 66343 wagers · RTP 101,20%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 62841 wagers · RTP 9,71%

BaccaratR 1 14329 wagers · RTP 72,42%

CrashR 73919 wagers · RTP 84,27%

American RouletteR 63416 wagers · RTP 133,12%

Virtual Sports BettingR 62916 wagers · RTP 121,26%

BlackjackR 43911 wagers · RTP 93,17%

Craps / DiceR 39610 wagers · RTP 101,01%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 38110 wagers · RTP 161,94%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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