Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #192 of 1,000

P0071

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 74,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 210

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 210

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 392Deviation R 602

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 210. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 230

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 175 to R 5 100
Finished ahead: 277 / 1,000 (27,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #459 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,57% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 2.181
Mean bets / session: 3.171
Loss multiplier: 1.0008×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 47,7% / 64,8% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 3 21760 wagers · RTP 115,79%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 82134 wagers · RTP 70,02%

Craps / DiceR 91717 wagers · RTP 116,47%

Virtual Sports BettingR 82015 wagers · RTP 127,80%

CrashR 62612 wagers · RTP 149,92%

American RouletteR 55710 wagers · RTP 140,57%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 53910 wagers · RTP 20,04%

Lottery / JackpotR 4398 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 3727 wagers · RTP 84,41%

BlackjackR 3156 wagers · RTP 182,22%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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