Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #420 of 1,000

P0072

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 24,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 943

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 057

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 260Deviation -R 797

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 057. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 566

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 611 to R 1 483
Finished ahead: 261 / 1,000 (26,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #365 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,23% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 2.182
Mean bets / session: 3.219
Loss multiplier: 1.0264×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 42,9% / 64,9% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 77537 wagers · RTP 97,10%

European RouletteR 75037 wagers · RTP 79,20%

American RouletteR 67832 wagers · RTP 89,53%

Craps / DiceR 30715 wagers · RTP 87,95%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 27213 wagers · RTP 8,09%

BlackjackR 25612 wagers · RTP 81,25%

Lottery / JackpotR 23311 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 21310 wagers · RTP 71,83%

CrashR 1688 wagers · RTP 65,18%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1216 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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