Research simulation · fictional money · no deposits, prizes or visitor wagers
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Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #223 of 1,000

P0073

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 72,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 015

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 15

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 461Deviation R 476

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

P0073 cumulative P&L by calendar monthMonth-six visible P&L R 15. Bankroll allocations used: 1.
Month-six visible P&L R 15. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 792

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile
-R 2 325 to R 2 591
Finished ahead
282 / 1,000 (28,2%)
At least one ruin
0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank
#398 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake
0,43% of bankroll
Sessions / week
1.573
Mean bets / session
3.361
Loss multiplier
1.0282×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win
42,8% / 50,0% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 1 47833 wagers · RTP 76,05%
BlackjackR 1 28829 wagers · RTP 93,83%
European RouletteR 99522 wagers · RTP 77,89%
American RouletteR 66315 wagers · RTP 258,82%
Virtual Sports BettingR 45510 wagers · RTP 63,07%
Lottery / JackpotR 45310 wagers · RTP 19,43%
High-Volatility Video SlotR 4109 wagers · RTP 54,88%
BaccaratR 4069 wagers · RTP 195,07%
Craps / DiceR 2235 wagers · RTP 96,41%
CrashR 1303 wagers · RTP 66,15%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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