Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #398 of 1,000

P0075

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 57,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 187

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 813

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 463Deviation -R 349

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 813. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 107

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 225 to R 3 471
Finished ahead: 291 / 1,000 (29,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #444 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,49% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 2.113
Mean bets / session: 4.702
Loss multiplier: 1.0231×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 35,4% / 36,7% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 3 07770 wagers · RTP 102,29%

European RouletteR 1 73740 wagers · RTP 84,80%

Craps / DiceR 1 42933 wagers · RTP 136,88%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 07424 wagers · RTP 82,97%

BlackjackR 94321 wagers · RTP 80,33%

CrashR 87519 wagers · RTP 51,46%

BaccaratR 68015 wagers · RTP 151,76%

Lottery / JackpotR 55513 wagers · RTP 13,69%

American RouletteR 44910 wagers · RTP 68,37%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 43710 wagers · RTP 80,78%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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