Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #246 of 1,000

P0076

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 74,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 916

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 84

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 393Deviation R 309

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 84. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 251

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 756 to R 4 460
Finished ahead: 245 / 1,000 (24,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #458 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,51% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.623
Mean bets / session: 3.184
Loss multiplier: 1.014×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 49,5% / 43,8% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 1 69833 wagers · RTP 57,60%

European RouletteR 1 18424 wagers · RTP 58,78%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 16223 wagers · RTP 43,46%

Lottery / JackpotR 80516 wagers · RTP 36,52%

BlackjackR 80316 wagers · RTP 80,82%

CrashR 60712 wagers · RTP 216,85%

American RouletteR 4449 wagers · RTP 421,62%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3116 wagers · RTP 126,62%

Craps / DiceR 2475 wagers · RTP 154,66%

BaccaratR 2004 wagers · RTP 145,28%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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