Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #449 of 1,000

P0078

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 28,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 566

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 434

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 276Deviation -R 1 157

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 434. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 853

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 177 to R 3 003
Finished ahead: 272 / 1,000 (27,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #402 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,36% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.777
Mean bets / session: 4.105
Loss multiplier: 1.0217×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 41,1% / 58,0% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 45043 wagers · RTP 58,34%

European RouletteR 1 26537 wagers · RTP 100,32%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 05531 wagers · RTP 64,88%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 79223 wagers · RTP 26,01%

BaccaratR 60818 wagers · RTP 120,72%

BlackjackR 58417 wagers · RTP 113,87%

CrashR 37311 wagers · RTP 158,18%

American RouletteR 2367 wagers · RTP 29,66%

Craps / DiceR 1715 wagers · RTP 80,70%

Lottery / JackpotR 1665 wagers · RTP 38,55%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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