Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #355 of 1,000

P0079

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 65,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 440

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 560

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 401Deviation -R 159

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 560. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 287

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 364 to R 4 717
Finished ahead: 258 / 1,000 (25,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #463 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,57% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.65
Mean bets / session: 4.745
Loss multiplier: 1.0146×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 45,5% / 50,1% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 1 87835 wagers · RTP 163,74%

European RouletteR 1 66131 wagers · RTP 61,59%

CrashR 1 49228 wagers · RTP 105,41%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 29824 wagers · RTP 94,46%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 08720 wagers · RTP 19,87%

American RouletteR 90317 wagers · RTP 53,82%

BlackjackR 54910 wagers · RTP 134,52%

Craps / DiceR 53210 wagers · RTP 96,99%

BaccaratR 3717 wagers · RTP 123,34%

Lottery / JackpotR 2124 wagers · RTP 52,83%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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