Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #751 of 1,000

P0080

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 0,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTTail resultNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 4 715

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 5 285

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 778Deviation -R 4 508

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 5 285. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 2 595

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 797 to R 3 928
Finished ahead: 188 / 1,000 (18,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #605 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,52% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 2.058
Mean bets / session: 5.993
Loss multiplier: 1.0151×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 40,8% / 36,0% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 2 63574 wagers · RTP 41,06%

Lottery / JackpotR 2 32261 wagers · RTP 14,30%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 80850 wagers · RTP 75,91%

Virtual Sports BettingR 98727 wagers · RTP 112,95%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 90724 wagers · RTP 20,84%

BlackjackR 77120 wagers · RTP 63,16%

American RouletteR 68520 wagers · RTP 70,80%

BaccaratR 63016 wagers · RTP 90,05%

Craps / DiceR 43413 wagers · RTP 97,24%

CrashR 2166 wagers · RTP 26,85%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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