Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #421 of 1,000

P0081

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 60,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 928

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 072

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 741Deviation -R 331

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 072. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 650

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 933 to R 4 548
Finished ahead: 248 / 1,000 (24,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #506 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,57% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.628
Mean bets / session: 4.562
Loss multiplier: 1.0287×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 41,0% / 51,1% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 3 10553 wagers · RTP 77,75%

Three-Reel SlotR 2 03635 wagers · RTP 167,39%

American RouletteR 1 18020 wagers · RTP 58,47%

BlackjackR 1 07618 wagers · RTP 96,38%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 06618 wagers · RTP 82,81%

BaccaratR 77013 wagers · RTP 68,96%

Lottery / JackpotR 64011 wagers · RTP 19,69%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 5409 wagers · RTP 121,30%

Craps / DiceR 5249 wagers · RTP 55,34%

CrashR 4608 wagers · RTP 63,32%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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