Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #399 of 1,000

P0082

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 62,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 186

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 814

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 570Deviation -R 244

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 814. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 524

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 586 to R 4 327
Finished ahead: 248 / 1,000 (24,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #487 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,48% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.722
Mean bets / session: 5.806
Loss multiplier: 1.02×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 48,8% / 62,6% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 2 49751 wagers · RTP 130,60%

Three-Reel SlotR 2 41449 wagers · RTP 112,84%

American RouletteR 1 62833 wagers · RTP 73,28%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 31926 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 1 00921 wagers · RTP 136,65%

Lottery / JackpotR 89418 wagers · RTP 32,66%

Craps / DiceR 75115 wagers · RTP 107,06%

CrashR 65613 wagers · RTP 156,10%

Virtual Sports BettingR 63313 wagers · RTP 42,54%

BlackjackR 3978 wagers · RTP 110,33%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies