Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #636 of 1,000

P0083

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 23,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 6 675

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 3 325

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 874Deviation -R 2 451

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 3 325. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 2 058

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 352 to R 3 653
Finished ahead: 219 / 1,000 (21,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #553 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,57% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 2.162
Mean bets / session: 5.195
Loss multiplier: 1.007×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 42,6% / 41,3% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 2 70160 wagers · RTP 88,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 2 70061 wagers · RTP 64,78%

BlackjackR 2 13847 wagers · RTP 82,97%

Craps / DiceR 1 06624 wagers · RTP 67,54%

Lottery / JackpotR 77317 wagers · RTP 57,18%

BaccaratR 69516 wagers · RTP 58,27%

CrashR 67115 wagers · RTP 101,83%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 64014 wagers · RTP 13,44%

Virtual Sports BettingR 4159 wagers · RTP 92,29%

American RouletteR 2656 wagers · RTP 45,28%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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