Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #401 of 1,000

P0084

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 61,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 163

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 837

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 394Deviation -R 443

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 837. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 299

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 002 to R 3 309
Finished ahead: 243 / 1,000 (24,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #467 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,48% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.872
Mean bets / session: 4.065
Loss multiplier: 1.0228×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 41,2% / 59,0% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 2 03445 wagers · RTP 62,61%

BaccaratR 1 80240 wagers · RTP 99,67%

European RouletteR 1 58035 wagers · RTP 110,76%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 86019 wagers · RTP 87,56%

Virtual Sports BettingR 84819 wagers · RTP 170,78%

Lottery / JackpotR 53512 wagers · RTP 33,64%

CrashR 49911 wagers · RTP 76,20%

American RouletteR 3558 wagers · RTP 38,87%

Craps / DiceR 2345 wagers · RTP 78,63%

BlackjackR 1794 wagers · RTP 103,91%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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