Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #513 of 1,000

P0085

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 25,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 056

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 944

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 401Deviation -R 1 543

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 944. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 162

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 772 to R 2 961
Finished ahead: 262 / 1,000 (26,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #445 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,36% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.848
Mean bets / session: 5.752
Loss multiplier: 1.0091×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 38,2% / 39,8% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 2 58785 wagers · RTP 82,04%

European RouletteR 1 61953 wagers · RTP 73,38%

Lottery / JackpotR 71324 wagers · RTP 35,06%

BaccaratR 58219 wagers · RTP 96,13%

CrashR 54018 wagers · RTP 132,31%

Virtual Sports BettingR 53318 wagers · RTP 102,06%

Craps / DiceR 51917 wagers · RTP 94,80%

BlackjackR 47616 wagers · RTP 62,18%

American RouletteR 41714 wagers · RTP 64,75%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 39413 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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