Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #532 of 1,000

P0086

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 25,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 7 881

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 119

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 361Deviation -R 1 757

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 119. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 315

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 904 to R 3 575
Finished ahead: 254 / 1,000 (25,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #466 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,33% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.948
Mean bets / session: 4.898
Loss multiplier: 1.0385×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 38,0% / 42,6% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 35844 wagers · RTP 18,26%

European RouletteR 1 21439 wagers · RTP 39,54%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 01833 wagers · RTP 47,99%

BlackjackR 76525 wagers · RTP 104,97%

BaccaratR 54017 wagers · RTP 112,78%

Lottery / JackpotR 53618 wagers · RTP 66,79%

American RouletteR 49216 wagers · RTP 147,15%

CrashR 44615 wagers · RTP 61,72%

Virtual Sports BettingR 42214 wagers · RTP 113,39%

Craps / DiceR 34912 wagers · RTP 159,60%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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