Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #578 of 1,000

P0088

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 10,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 7 424

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 576

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 405Deviation -R 2 170

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 576. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 126

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 976 to R 2 834
Finished ahead: 227 / 1,000 (22,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #440 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,47% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.775
Mean bets / session: 4.564
Loss multiplier: 1.0197×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 44,7% / 45,0% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 1 80945 wagers · RTP 66,83%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 57139 wagers · RTP 90,04%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 51737 wagers · RTP 61,37%

American RouletteR 71918 wagers · RTP 23,09%

BlackjackR 65316 wagers · RTP 109,95%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 62916 wagers · RTP 44,52%

CrashR 59915 wagers · RTP 57,18%

Lottery / JackpotR 48412 wagers · RTP 14,46%

BaccaratR 3148 wagers · RTP 144,70%

Craps / DiceR 3047 wagers · RTP 144,08%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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