Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #624 of 1,000

P0089

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 5,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 6 809

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 3 191

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 358Deviation -R 2 833

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 3 191. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 189

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 239 to R 5 290
Finished ahead: 262 / 1,000 (26,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #450 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,60% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.861
Mean bets / session: 3.49
Loss multiplier: 1.0104×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 38,7% / 46,8% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 2 23546 wagers · RTP 59,46%

CrashR 1 46631 wagers · RTP 50,67%

European RouletteR 1 10023 wagers · RTP 66,55%

Virtual Sports BettingR 86617 wagers · RTP 25,45%

BaccaratR 71014 wagers · RTP 70,42%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 68515 wagers · RTP 14,16%

Lottery / JackpotR 3418 wagers · RTP 71,55%

Craps / DiceR 2957 wagers · RTP 88,14%

BlackjackR 2265 wagers · RTP 62,83%

American RouletteR 2185 wagers · RTP 313,76%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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