Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #443 of 1,000

P0090

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 16,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 705

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 295

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 238Deviation -R 1 057

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 295. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 669

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 614 to R 1 848
Finished ahead: 236 / 1,000 (23,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #378 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,31% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.631
Mean bets / session: 3.058
Loss multiplier: 1.0022×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 38,2% / 42,6% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 69625 wagers · RTP 64,80%

Lottery / JackpotR 66024 wagers · RTP 16,67%

Three-Reel SlotR 46417 wagers · RTP 65,84%

BaccaratR 32412 wagers · RTP 119,14%

CrashR 29911 wagers · RTP 43,14%

Virtual Sports BettingR 27210 wagers · RTP 56,33%

American RouletteR 2449 wagers · RTP 67,62%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2007 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 1977 wagers · RTP 160,41%

BlackjackR 1666 wagers · RTP 127,41%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies