Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #631 of 1,000

P0091

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 32,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 6 761

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 3 239

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 989Deviation -R 2 250

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 3 239. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 2 286

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 778 to R 5 316
Finished ahead: 220 / 1,000 (22,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #576 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,59% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 2.055
Mean bets / session: 5.432
Loss multiplier: 1.0312×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 48,7% / 64,8% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 4 98187 wagers · RTP 109,11%

Three-Reel SlotR 3 42360 wagers · RTP 66,65%

BaccaratR 1 50626 wagers · RTP 105,71%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 42725 wagers · RTP 24,81%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 06218 wagers · RTP 35,97%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 04219 wagers · RTP 94,41%

Craps / DiceR 1 03919 wagers · RTP 26,47%

CrashR 88815 wagers · RTP 140,85%

BlackjackR 88515 wagers · RTP 92,88%

American RouletteR 68512 wagers · RTP 47,15%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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