Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #612 of 1,000

P0093

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 8,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 6 960

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 3 040

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 421Deviation -R 2 619

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 3 040. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 326

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 362 to R 3 634
Finished ahead: 248 / 1,000 (24,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #466 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,59% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.653
Mean bets / session: 4.346
Loss multiplier: 1.0299×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 50,6% / 53,1% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 2 61253 wagers · RTP 72,99%

European RouletteR 1 95339 wagers · RTP 25,45%

BlackjackR 1 66334 wagers · RTP 86,11%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 03120 wagers · RTP 60,81%

CrashR 59012 wagers · RTP 83,56%

BaccaratR 57012 wagers · RTP 89,47%

Craps / DiceR 53811 wagers · RTP 78,07%

Virtual Sports BettingR 48410 wagers · RTP 116,48%

American RouletteR 2475 wagers · RTP 140,89%

Lottery / JackpotR 2435 wagers · RTP 38,68%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies