Research simulation · fictional money · no deposits, prizes or visitor wagers
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Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #244 of 1,000

P0094

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 69,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 919

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 81

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 350Deviation R 268

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

P0094 cumulative P&L by calendar monthMonth-six visible P&L -R 81. Bankroll allocations used: 1.
Month-six visible P&L -R 81. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 911

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile
-R 2 569 to R 2 781
Finished ahead
287 / 1,000 (28,7%)
At least one ruin
0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank
#415 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake
0,51% of bankroll
Sessions / week
1.612
Mean bets / session
3.845
Loss multiplier
1.0346×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win
43,5% / 41,0% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 1 88538 wagers · RTP 98,94%
BaccaratR 1 49231 wagers · RTP 75,20%
Three-Reel SlotR 1 29826 wagers · RTP 180,62%
Craps / DiceR 94119 wagers · RTP 89,69%
Virtual Sports BettingR 62413 wagers · RTP 113,46%
American RouletteR 3948 wagers · RTP 88,32%
Lottery / JackpotR 3828 wagers · RTP 0,00%
BlackjackR 3678 wagers · RTP 62,13%
CrashR 3577 wagers · RTP 151,26%
High-Volatility Video SlotR 3417 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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